arXiv

Statistical Guarantees for Reasoning Probes on Looped Boolean Circuits

Title: Statistical Assurances for Reasoning Probes Operating on Recurrent Boolean Circuits

Abstract:

This work investigates the statistical properties of reasoning probes within a simplified framework of iterative computation, drawing inspiration from neural algorithmic reasoning. The computational process is modeled by a looped Boolean circuit structured as a perfect $\nu$-ary tree (where $\nu\ge 2$), featuring outputs that are recursively routed back as inputs across successive computation steps. The probe functions by observing a randomly sampled subset of internal nodes, aiming to deduce the latent operation at each node, which is characterized by a probability distribution over a finite collection of permissible Boolean gates. This constraint of partial observability creates a transductive generalization challenge on a structured computation graph. We demonstrate that when the probe is defined by a graph convolutional network and samples $N$ nodes, the worst-case generalization error diminishes at the optimal rate of $\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{\log(2/\delta)}/\sqrt{N})$ with a confidence level of at least $1-\delta$. Our theoretical framework integrates metric embedding methods with optimal transport techniques. A critical finding is that this convergence rate is attainable regardless of the computation graph’s scale, facilitated by a low-distortion one-dimensional snowflake embedding of the resulting graph metric. These findings underscore a geometric mechanism that drives statistical efficiency in the context of probing structured, iterative computations.


Source: arXiv Generated at: 2026-06-02 00:00:00 UTC

Related Articles

Law’s Billable Hour Is Being Shredded by AI
Bloomberg

Law’s Billable Hour Is Being Shredded by AI

AI is dismantling the billable hour by automating routine legal tasks. This technological shift threatens the traditiona...

Iran War: Trump Tries to Stop Israel’s Lebanon Push | The Opening Trade 6/2/2026
Bloomberg

Iran War: Trump Tries to Stop Israel’s Lebanon Push | The Opening Trade 6/2/2026

SoftBank in Early Talks to Back $800 Million Agile Robots Round
Bloomberg

SoftBank in Early Talks to Back $800 Million Agile Robots Round

SoftBank is in early talks to back Agile Robots’ $800 million funding round. The Japanese tech giant is currently in pre...

Amundi Is Diversifying Risk Via Commodity Currencies, Gold
Bloomberg

Amundi Is Diversifying Risk Via Commodity Currencies, Gold

Amundi diversifies risk by investing in commodity-linked currencies and gold. This strategy hedges against market volati...

Reuters

Marvell Technology surges after Nvidia's Huang calls it 'next trillion-dollar company'

Marvell Technology shares surged after Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang labeled the firm the “next trillion-dollar company.”

Russia Says It Found Foreign Spyware on Top Officials’ Phones
Bloomberg

Russia Says It Found Foreign Spyware on Top Officials’ Phones

Russia’s FSB claims to have discovered foreign spyware on senior officials’ phones. Moscow attributes the intrusion to h...